4 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plokhotniuk
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1599
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H22-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.