4 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1599
FormLWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)