4 Nov · 13:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1877
FormWWWWW
16%
84%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 67%Total ~71 pts
0-3
37%
1-3
30%
2-3
16%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+328
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+328)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)