4 Nov · 10:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1247
FormLLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1413
FormLLLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~72 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+166
H2H30-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-12)