4 Nov · 07:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1584
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budnyk
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1615
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Budnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H25-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.