4 Nov · 11:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1584
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1599
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.