4 Nov · 06:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1877
FormWWWWW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+257
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+257)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)