5 Nov · 12:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1542
FormLLLWL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1890
FormWWLWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~71 pts
0-3
38%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+348
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+348)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)