5 Nov · 08:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budnyk
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1635
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Budnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.