5 Nov · 13:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1890
FormWWLWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~71 pts
0-3
36%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+284
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+284)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)