5 Nov · 11:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1553
FormLLLLW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1890
FormWWLWW
16%
84%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
37%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+337
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+337)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)