5 Nov · 13:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1619
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plokhotniuk
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1553
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H29-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-6)