5 Nov · 07:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1619
FormWLWLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1890
FormWWLWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+271
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+271)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)