5 Nov · 11:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1619
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plokhotniuk
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H22-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.