5 Nov · 09:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1553
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1606
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)