5 Nov · 07:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1553
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
DK
🇺🇦Daria Kovalova
ELO 1542
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.