6 Nov · 18:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1574
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H66-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.