6 Nov · 15:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1574
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1613
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H49-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-30)