6 Nov · 15:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1444
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+152
H2H85-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-54)