6 Nov · 17:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1444
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1574
FormLLLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+130
H2H33-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-23)