7 Nov · 20:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gordeets
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1599
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H16-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.