7 Nov · 21:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1617
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volgina
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1599
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bondarenko🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H10-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.