7 Nov · 16:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1577
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1599
FormLLLLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (124)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H18-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.