8 Nov · 20:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1419
FormLLWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1579
FormWWLLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+160
H2H42-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-9)