8 Nov · 18:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1436
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bondareva
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1419
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as favourite 63% (107)
Fair odds · Bondareva
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H30-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.