8 Nov · 16:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1590
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1579
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H48-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.