8 Nov · 15:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lapa
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1426
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H43-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-19)