8 Nov · 15:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1436
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1590
FormLWWLW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+154
H2H49-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-13)