8 Nov · 20:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1282
FormLWLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H84-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-58)