8 Nov · 19:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1590
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+127
H2H114-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (114-40)