25 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1508
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zapala
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1490
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~81 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H31-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.