25 Jun · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1531
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rojka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1483
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Rojka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+48
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.