25 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kos
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1497
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H58-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.