26 Jun · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1439
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nemec
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1348
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+91
H2H25-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-18)