26 Jun · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1502
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rolik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1435
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)