26 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1436
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rein
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1443
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rein
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H20-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.