26 Jun · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1539
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Holik
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1484
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Holik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)