26 Jun · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1661
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1566
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H24-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-20)