26 Jun · 15:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1661
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)