26 Jun · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1486
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+50
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.