26 Jun · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1579
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rek
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+91
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)