26 Jun · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1518
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1495
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.