26 Jun · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1605
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)