26 Jun · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.