26 Jun · 22:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1605
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+49
H2H71-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.