26 Jun · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Langer
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1486
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H49-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.