26 Jun · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1521
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Barsa
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1490
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.