26 Jun · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H26-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-18)