26 Jun · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1579
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1555
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.