26 Jun · 21:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1490
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H70-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.